Icon Re: I'm listening to Nate Silver and others
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Reg (view)

No offense to anybody with this comment...well, except to Nate obviously...Nate Silver is a clown of epic proportions.

The map I posted is obviously some sort of hideous nightmare that I have said over and over is highly highly unlikely because Trump is bound to lose heavily in so many demographic categories (plus the Republican party is also against him) and the last couple of elections have painted a fairly clear picture that Republicans are a serious long shot to win a general election but...

...pointed out to me in all my smug over confidence that he can't win was the simple fact that to do so the Republicans need to just tip a few states...not the entire country...into their column and Trump is right in the middle of it.

Plus, apparently I have fantasized that there is some sort of FBI investigation of Hillary Clinton...which I'm told by some Democrats that I just dreamed up and is not actually happening...and obviously something like that...you know...that I am just imagining and is not real...well...that could never come into play as something harmful to a candidate that at least 50% of the country can't stand and does not trust already.

Ohio and Florida are battleground states and both could go to Trump he has a lot of support in these states and voters in these states could easily go Trump over Clinton.

Don't let anybody kid you, there really is not much to predicting how the country will vote...it's not rocket science...it's just all about understanding bullshit and which bullshit people are more likely to roll in. Most of the map is already set...it's only about figuring out how a few states will lean.
–--
'The only way to avoid getting crushed by absurdity, is to humbly include the absurd in our calculations.'
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