Reg
location: back to the wilderness
listening to: static
registered: 1999.11.22
posts: 6470
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No offense to anybody with this comment...well, except to Nate
obviously...Nate Silver is a clown of epic proportions. The map I posted is obviously some sort of hideous nightmare that I have
said over and over is highly highly unlikely because Trump is bound to
lose heavily in so many demographic categories (plus the Republican party
is also against him) and the last couple of elections have painted a
fairly clear picture that Republicans are a serious long shot to win a
general election but......pointed out to me in all my smug over confidence that he can't win was
the simple fact that to do so the Republicans need to just tip a few
states...not the entire country...into their column and Trump is right in
the middle of it.Plus, apparently I have fantasized that there is some sort of FBI
investigation of Hillary Clinton...which I'm told by some Democrats that
I just dreamed up and is not actually happening...and obviously something
like that...you know...that I am just imagining and is not
real...well...that could never come into play as something harmful to a
candidate that at least 50% of the country can't stand and does not trust
already. Ohio and Florida are battleground states and both could go to Trump he
has a lot of support in these states and voters in these states could
easily go Trump over Clinton. Don't let anybody kid you, there really is not much to predicting how the
country will vote...it's not rocket science...it's just all about
understanding bullshit and which bullshit people are more likely to roll
in. Most of the map is already set...it's only about figuring out how a
few states will lean.
–--
'The only way to avoid getting crushed by absurdity, is to humbly include the absurd in our calculations.'
'The only way to avoid getting crushed by absurdity, is to humbly include the absurd in our calculations.'
Reg
(view)
No offense to anybody with this comment...well, except to Nate
obviously...Nate Silver is a clown of epic proportions. The map I posted is obviously some sort of hideous nightmare that I have
said over and over is highly highly unlikely because Trump is bound to
lose heavily in so many demographic categories (plus the Republican party
is also against him) and the last couple of elections have painted a
fairly clear picture that Republicans are a serious long shot to win a
general election but......pointed out to me in all my smug over confidence that he can't win was
the simple fact that to do so the Republicans need to just tip a few
states...not the entire country...into their column and Trump is right in
the middle of it.Plus, apparently I have fantasized that there is some sort of FBI
investigation of Hillary Clinton...which I'm told by some Democrats that
I just dreamed up and is not actually happening...and obviously something
like that...you know...that I am just imagining and is not
real...well...that could never come into play as something harmful to a
candidate that at least 50% of the country can't stand and does not trust
already. Ohio and Florida are battleground states and both could go to Trump he
has a lot of support in these states and voters in these states could
easily go Trump over Clinton. Don't let anybody kid you, there really is not much to predicting how the
country will vote...it's not rocket science...it's just all about
understanding bullshit and which bullshit people are more likely to roll
in. Most of the map is already set...it's only about figuring out how a
few states will lean.
–--
'The only way to avoid getting crushed by absurdity, is to humbly include the absurd in our calculations.'
'The only way to avoid getting crushed by absurdity, is to humbly include the absurd in our calculations.'
posted 2016.05.14
posted on May 14th 2016
Reg
location: back to the wilderness
listening to: static
registered: 1999.11.22
posts: 6470
[view all posts]
[view all posts]
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Could there be trouble brewing? – Reg on May 13th, 2016-
Re: Could there be trouble brewing? – Dan on May 13th, 2016-
I'm listening to Nate Silver and others – EEE on May 14th, 2016-
Re: I'm listening to Nate Silver and others – Reg on May 14th, 2016-
Comey calls out Hillary for being full of poo... – Reg on May 14th, 2016
The day to start.... – EEE on May 14th, 2016-
What the polls and the voting show is there are some major warning signs... – Reg on May 15th, 2016-
Re: What the polls and the voting show is there are some major warning signs... – Dan on May 16th, 2016-
Dan, you are using talking points again... – Reg on May 21st, 2016-
Re: Dan, you are using talking points again... – messybear on May 21st, 2016
Re: Dan, you are using talking points again... – Dan on May 23rd, 2016
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