Icon Re: Three question Kavanaugh related poll
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1) With what percent of confidence do you think Kavanaugh will get the votes in the Senate? (Me - No 100 %.)

Well, I can only say right now he does not have the votes but you have to rely on Republicans not voting for him. The agreement to the supplemental FBI background check is a confirmation of the fact they do not have the votes right now. Here's the the thing I think is most worrisome. George W. Bush has been making calls to Republicans advocating that they support Kavanaugh. This is not good because he has been talking with Susan Collins the Republican Senator from Maine that through this debacle has been one of the "No" votes required to stop "Weepy Brett" from getting confirmed. Now, this is not good. The Bush family may not be well thought of in a lot of places in this country but they are LOVED in Maine. I mean absolutely loved. So, Dubya does have considerable pull with Collins. If Collins falls into line and votes "Yes" on Kavanaugh then likely so will Lisa Murkowski of Alaska. Then we are in trouble. Nothing is certain here and we are talking about a very small number of votes that could swing this either way and if it is a tie, then Mike Pence will break the tie by voting "Yes" on "Weepy Brett."

Now, I hope that along with this new investigation of the allegations against Kavanaugh that the media and Democrats use this week to point out what a goddamn travesty Kavanaugh's behavior and statements were on Friday...because that was not just a joke, and made him look more guilty, but showed him to not be fit to sit on the Supreme Court. On top of which his crazed ranting showed him to be a conspiracy nut of Alex Jones proportions. Remember he OPENLY expressed his hatred and bias against Democrats. Supreme Court judges are meant to be impartial to all citizens regardless of their political affiliation...Kavanaugh admitted he is not...and he OPENLY politicized the court and tainted his future rulings in his rantings. Meaning, he should be done...period...based on that insane display.

The problem is as crap a candidate for the court as "Weepy Brett" is the Republicans want to get a judge confirmed BEFORE the midterm election. So, a good number of Republicans would vote for ANYBODY even if they were a proven cannibal serial killer. It does not matter to them so even if the FBI comes back saying "Yes, there is solid information that these allegations are true and accurate plus we uncovered that Kavanaugh did run a gang rape club." a group of Republicans will say "So what?" and vote for him anyway.

2) With what percent of confidence do you think, that with 39 days left until the midterms, it is possible that the shit show put on by the Rethugican's Judiciary Farce, will flip both the House and the Senate? (Me House - yes 100%, Senate - No 70 % confidence)

What you are dealing with here, I believe, are voters that have already decided. So, maybe there are Republican voting women that will change their vote to Democrat based on that sad show by the Judiciary Committee but I would not expect that there are a lot of them. If they switched sides they probably did so prior to that mess. We will see how much messier it gets in the coming week and if the investigation creates a worse picture of Kavanaugh but the problem is these slimy Senators that have ALREADY decided that no matter what the investigation turns up they are voting "Yes" on "Blubbering Brett."

Let me say this too, many voters that support Republican candidates are likely paying very little attention to this Kavanaugh "job interview" but if they were and thought about if they would want a person they were interviewing for a job to act the way Kavanaugh did on Friday...well...they would obviously say "No, I would not hire that guy."

I mean come on, if a guy went nuts like that in an interview I certainly would not hire him.

3) With what percent of confidence do you think Kavanaugh will ever be charged with ANY crime (to include but not limited to, perjury from past testimony, attempted rape, holding someone against their will (kidnapping or false imprisonment), obstruction of justice, etc.? (Me 80% No)

This is the easiest question because Kavanaugh is not under criminal investigation and so will not be charged with a crime. The victims are not bringing charges against him so there is nothing to charge him with. This is really just a "job interview" and so all that will happen here is the Senators will make a decision on if they think this guy is fit for the job.

I think his crazed breakdown on Friday alone should disqualify him. I would not hire that guy to operate a hot dog stand.
–--
'The only way to avoid getting crushed by absurdity, is to humbly include the absurd in our calculations.'
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