Yeah, but what a difference a day makes.

Viz:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/sep/sep12.html

http://www.electoral-vote.com/sep/sep13.html

These things change as the various polls roll in.  My prediction is it will all come down to Florida again.  If Kerry cannot win Florida, it will be mathematically impossible for him to win the election.  He will get all of the NE states except for possibly Maine and NH.  The only midwest states that are likely are IL, MI and MN.   Wisconsin unlikely.  In the west, CA, OR, and WA, HI, and  probably NM and CO. There is a slim chance for PA or even VA, but I wouldn't hold my breath.  Ohio...forget it, Bush all the way.   If I am correct, and Kerry wins the above, (without PA nor VA) that will give him around 244.  He will need FLA to win.  Nader is in (though legally not supposed to be, and estimated at 1%).    Bush might pull away entirely, making this a moot point, but if not, we are in for another very late night of TV in November.     

Gene