The USA is about 5% of the global population, a shrinking share of global GDP (down to 12.7%) and the current rampage of misrule is kneecapping science and business -- with random tariff variations there is no way to plan for future business growth potential.

Finally, the tech bubble is getting ready to burst spectacularly in the next few months. And while it looks like AI and Nvidia to a first approximation, it's really the whole of the US computing/software industrial sector that's going down. Enshittification has gutted your software businesses, Intel can't even build its own microprocessors anymore, it's all outsourced ... and then ICE come along and start handcuffing South Korean business executives trying to build a semiconductor fab line?

It's all fucking over. Doomed. Doomed, I say.

It's not even just tech: Trump's assholes have pissed off all the USA's traditional allies. Australia's wondering if it's going to get those nuclear submarines it paid for, NATO-in-Europe is shit-scared the USA is soft on Russia, South Korea is spitting nails, India and Spain just cancelled any plans to buy F-35s because they don't trust you any more. And loss of trust isn't something you can wind back just by holding an election. Because what about the election after that?

Even if you get rid of Trump, MAGA, and Project 2025 by 2028 the damage is done: the American Century is Over.

(From current discussion on Charlie Stross's blog/website)